The National Weather Service (NWS) Albuquerque issued a Flood Watch on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 11:57 AM MDT, for parts of east central, northeast, and southeast New Mexico. This watch is effective until Monday, October 26, 2026, at 6:00 AM MDT.

Areas covered by the watch include Northeast Highlands, Eastern San Miguel County, Guadalupe County, Roosevelt County, De Baca County, and Chaves County Plains. The alert warns of the potential for flash flooding due to excessive rainfall, with forecasts indicating an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain, and localized amounts potentially reaching 2 to 3 inches.

Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone areas. New Mexico, especially its central and eastern regions, faces a continued risk of excessive rainfall and potential flash flooding. Soils in northwest areas are already saturated from previous heavy rains, meaning that even moderate additional rainfall could trigger flash flooding.

The current weather pattern includes a new round of showers and thunderstorms expected to affect areas that experienced rainfall on Saturday, October 24, and Sunday morning, October 25. The Southwest U.S., including New Mexico, has been preparing for another round of heavy showers and thunderstorms after days of rain already led to evacuations and water rescues. The storm system that has caused significant rainfall in the Southwest is expected to continue impacting the region into early next week, bringing additional pockets of heavy rain to saturated areas.

Flood warnings remain in effect for the Animas River near Farmington and for the San Juan River at Farmington and Shiprock. Local officials warned of more surges even as the San Juan River and other streams receded from record highs. In the Four Corners region, floodwaters have left mud and silt, much of it contaminated with sewage due to failures at waste plants. Power outages are affecting multiple areas, and residents may wait days for power to return. San Juan County is described as an "active disaster zone".

Hundreds of people have needed rescue since rains began on Wednesday, with flooding peaking on Thursday and Friday. Evacuations have been ongoing in affected areas. Police Chief Steve Hebbe of Farmington, New Mexico, urged residents to monitor alerts, stating, "This is not over". Governor Lujan Grisham is preparing a request for an Emergency Disaster Declaration from the federal government due to flooding in San Juan County and surrounding areas this week.